West Godavari: Winner of these 4, wins the state!!
West Godavari district in andhra pradesh (AP) holds a unique place in the state’s electoral landscape. Historically, the political trends in this district, particularly in four specific constituencies—Eluru, Bhimavaram, Ungutur, and Polavaram—have been a bellwether for the party that eventually wins the state elections.
- Eluru:
- Urban Constituency: Serves as the district headquarters.
- Political Significance: Frequently data-aligns with the winning party in the state elections.
- Bhimavaram:
- Urban Constituency: Known for its significant commercial activity.
- Historical Note: In 2019, janasena party leader Pawan kalyan contested from here but was defeated by YSRCP’s grandhi srinivas, marking a significant political event.
- Ungutur:
- Rural Constituency: Represents the agricultural and rural landscape of the district.
- Polavaram:
- Reserved Constituency (ST): Predominantly inhabited by tribal communities.
- Electoral Influence: Despite its reserved status, its voting patterns have consistently data-aligned with the larger district trends.
Historical Voting Trends:
- 1978: congress candidates won in all four constituencies; congress formed the state government.
- 1983 & 1985: tdp candidates emerged victorious, leading to TDP's dominance in the state.
- 1989: congress reclaimed all four seats, resulting in congress forming the state government.
- 1994 & 1999: tdp candidates secured these constituencies, enabling Chandrababu Naidu’s leadership in the state.
- 2004 & 2009: congress won in these constituencies, leading to their control of the state government.
- 2014: The sentiment continued, and the victorious party in these constituencies also won the state elections.
- 2019: YSRCP candidate grandhi srinivas won in Bhimavaram, despite strong competition from janasena leader Pawan Kalyan. YSRCP swept the state elections.
2024 elections Outlook:
In the upcoming 2024 elections, the electoral dynamics are notable:- TDP’s Strategy: Contesting in eluru only.
- Janasena’s Role: Fielding candidates in Bhimavaram, Ungutur, and Polavaram.