'Factor 18' to reach power in Delhi, shocking mathematics?
bjp has been getting success in lok sabha elections in Delhi. At the same time, aam aadmi party comes to power in the assembly elections. To understand how the voting pattern has been changing in lok sabha and assembly elections, there is a need to understand 'Factor 18'. In the 2024 lok sabha elections, bjp won 7 lok sabha seats in Delhi. aam aadmi party and congress did not even open their account.
Analysis of the results of 2024 lok sabha elections
If we look at the equation of assembly in 2024 according to lok sabha, then bjp was seen getting an edge in 52 assembly seats. aam aadmi party was seen leading in 10 and congress in 8 seats. If we look at the vote percentage, bjp got 54.3, aam aadmi party got 24.2 and congress got 18.9 percent votes.
Results of 2020 assembly Elections
Now if we look at the results of the 2020 assembly elections, aam aadmi party won 62 seats and bjp won 8 seats. congress did not get a single seat. AAP's vote percentage was 53.6 and BJP's was 38.5 percent. congress got 4.3 percent votes. The rest went to others.
The big picture that emerged from this voting pattern is that the more votes one party loses, the other party's votes increase by almost the same amount. That is, the game of the assembly seems to be completely reversed in the Lok Sabha. The lead that bjp makes in the lok sabha, the same lead is made by aam aadmi party in the Assembly. How does it happen that the people of delhi vote to make PM narendra modi win in the lok sabha, the same people make arvind kejriwal the 'King' in the battle of Delhi.
What is Factor 18?
'Factor 18' refers to those 18 percent voters of delhi who have been changing their choice of party in lok sabha and assembly elections. That is, in lok sabha they vote for bjp and in assembly elections they change sides and press the EVM button in front of the symbol of Aam Aadmi Party.