The congress and other members of the india opposition coalition are predicted to win 166 seats, but this would not be enough to seriously threaten the NDA's majority. Party-wise, the bjp is expected to win 304 of the 543 seats, confirming its ability to govern with a simple majority on its own. By one, the saffron party surpasses its 2019 total of 303. With 71 members, up 19 from the last election, the congress is expected to be the second-largest party. The remaining 168 seats will be won by independents and regional parties, among others.
The carefully crafted MOTN study, which involved interviews in every parliamentary constituency, shows a public that is influenced by the BJP's combination of humanitarian programmes and a compelling patriotic story. election aspirations of the opposition look to be seriously hampered by their inability to put up a united front and a leadership contender to PM Modi.
Still, a more general pattern seen throughout india is consistent with the trend in the assembly polls, when the bjp encountered difficulties in converting its national ascendancy into triumphs in state elections. The saffron party was observed struggling with regional-national differences in voting behaviour in places with robust regional parties. The bjp has effectively resisted regional influences in Uttar Pradesh, where it is no longer necessary to form agreements with other regional players.
With his preparations for a possible third term, prime minister Narendra Modi continues to have a considerable impact on the political climate of the country. The MOTN study provides insight into how the public views his reign, emphasising his legacy, the successes and shortcomings of the administration, and the urgent problems the nation is now facing.