ETG Research and TNN Survey: BJP’s vote bank intact
BJP's vote bank is intact. Contested elections on 30 seats in 2014 but won 22 seats. 29.40% votes were polled. Contestedelections on 17 seats in 2019 and won all 17. 23.58 percent votes were polled. That is, there was a decrease of 5.82 percent.There was an increase in the vote bank of Lok Janshakti Party. In 2014, LJP won six seats and got 6.40% votes. In 2019 also,LJP won six seats and got 7.86% votes. Means there was an increase of 1.46% votes.Now the question arises that if the vote banks of nitish kumar and Lalu prasad Yadav are merged then 30 to 32% are cadrevoters. In this, 15 to 16% of Nitish Kumar's cadre voters are considered, but the way JDU is now divided under caste politicsin bihar and if upendra Kushwaha, Samrat Chaudhary succeed in breaking into the Luv-Kush equation, then Chief MinisterNitish Kumar may get a big blow. Because the vote bank of LJP is continuously increasing, bjp will get its direct benefit. IfUpendra Kushwaha, Lok Janshakti party and bjp contest elections together, then the contest from both the sides will beinteresting and there will be a close fight. If there is a breach in JDU's vote bank, the I.N.D.I.A alliance may definitely have tosuffer losses in Bihar.Now it has to be seen how nitish kumar manages to manage his vote bank. Although nitish kumar has been continuouslymeeting all his MLAs, MLCs, former MLAs, former MLCs. nitish kumar is assessing that if there is a decline in that vote bank,BJP will get a direct benefit from it.