Exit polls 2024: A look back at how accurate they were in 2019, 2014
The much-awaited exit poll projections for 2024 will begin after 6.30pm tonight, following the election Commission's embargo period. Aside from the lok sabha election, assembly elections were held in Andhra Pradesh, Arunachal Pradesh, Odisha, and Sikkim. Exit polls are forecasts based on what voters stated as they exited the voting booth after exercising their rights. Exit polls are conducted by agencies such as Axis My India, Today's Chanakya, IPSOS, CVoter, and CSDS.
Exit polls in 2019: How accurate they are
Exit poll projections should never be fully relied on since there is always opportunity for error. Exit polls that went wrong in the recent past are also common. However, in 2019 and 2014, exit poll forecasts accurately reflected the national sentiment.
In 2019, exit polls predicted an average of 306 votes for the nda and 120 votes for the UPA. When the final results came in, the nda gained 352 seats to the BJP's 303. The then-UPA won 93 seats, while the congress received 52.
In 2019, exit polls predicted an average of 306 votes for the nda and 120 votes for the UPA. When the final results came in, the nda gained 352 seats to the BJP's 303. The then-UPA won 93 seats, while the congress received 52.
Exit polls in 2014: How accurate they were
The BJP-led nda won by a landslide in 2014, despite the fact that several exit polls predicted the NDA's win. They merely missed the NDA's large profit margin. The average of eight exit polls forecast 283 seats for the nda and 105 seats for the UPA. The nda won 336 seats, with the bjp taking 282; the UPA won 60, and the congress won 44.
What's different in 2024?
The 2024 election will not be between the nda and the UPA, but between the nda and the new opposition INDIA. Ahead of the election, prime minister Narendra Modi set an ambitious objective of nda '400 paar', with the bjp alone winning over 370 seats.
The congress has previously stated that it will not participate in exit poll debates on television platforms to fuel'speculation and slugfest for TRP'.
The congress has previously stated that it will not participate in exit poll debates on television platforms to fuel'speculation and slugfest for TRP'.